“[In England] the large joint or extended family seems never to have existed as a domestic group at any point in time covered by known numerical records.”

tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…

'In the decades ahead, East Asia will experience perhaps the modern world’s most dramatic demographic shift. All of the region’s main states—China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan—are about to enter into an era of depopulation' American Enterprise Institute…

On the other hand for men there's a clear gradient.

Now, that said, if we look at men in the bottom 20% of scorers, their lifetime earnings (wages, salaries, tips, commissions, business profits, farm earnings, etc) are not zero. They're not even close to zero.

'[East Asian countries] will find it harder to generate economic growth, accumulate investments, and build wealth; to fund their social safety nets; and to mobilize their armed forces.'

'From my perspective, in a world that's marked by increasing economic inequality... in a world where many folks are reporting more loneliness...marriage and family don't just matter, but probably they matter more than ever.' - Brad Wilcox ow.ly/aFCX50RCcQG

At our Forum in Miami this spring we were joined by Brad Wilcox and @ISawhill for a fascinating, timely discussion about marriage patterns, family structure, shifting gender norms, and poverty rates. Listen in to the conversation here: ow.ly/O9Qe50RCaCU

'By 2050, the population in every one of the region’s countries will be smaller and older than it is now. The China of 2050, for example, will have many fewer people under 60 than does today’s China. But it will have two and a half times as many septuagenarians, octogenarians,…

Alternate headline: America Has Too Few Babies

we are very plausibly near the peak of East Asian economic and demographic dominance in the world.

Brad Wilcox Foreign Affairs American Enterprise Institute This July, when the UN releases its updated World Population Prospects, there are going to be a lot more articles like that.

Let's keep in mind how much their answer has changed over their past updates about what will eventually be the peak global population.

Thank you Ezra Klein for having me the show on to talk about drugs and drug policy
nytimes.com/2024/05/10/opi…

Winter is coming (vía Brad Wilcox )

Why are so many adult children becoming estranged from their older parents?

Joshua Coleman has answers The Atlantic
theatlantic.com/family/archive…

Stunning demographic projections, care of Nicholas Eberstadt Foreign Affairs American Enterprise Institute:

Stunning demographic projections, care of Nicholas Eberstadt Foreign Affairs American Enterprise Institute:

'In the decades ahead, East Asia will experience perhaps the modern world’s most dramatic demographic shift. All of the region’s main states—China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan—are about to enter into an era of depopulation' American Enterprise Institute…

Birthrates Continue To Plunge Despite Wide Pool Of Available Men Who Are Good At Both Video Games And Quoting Star Wars buff.ly/33sYjlY

Something Brad Wilcox and others have put a lot of stock in with regard to marriage is elite signaling, and I'm wondering what the whole Donald Trump / Stormy Daniels situation says in that regard.

I could imagine young women looking at this and seeing not-great things.