Andrew Dessler For more specific research focused on straight-line convective (thunderstorm) wind gusts, my colleague Andy Prein's recent paper offers observational, theoretical, and model-based evidence that such risk probably is increasing in a warming climate:
nature.com/articles/s4155…

Temperature Update for April 2024

Warmest April to be directly measured.

Our 12-month moving-average now stands at 1.65 °C (2.97 °F) above the 1850-1900 average.

El Niño weakens further, ending soon.

2024 likely be the warmest or 2nd warmest year.

berkeleyearth.org/april-2024-tem…

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Extreme heat in Asia made much much more likely & intense by climate change. Sounds like a broken record - yes! But heat is still underreported, underrecorded and extremely deadly! The world is not prepared for today's climate change, let alone the future. worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change…

The amount of fundamental radiative transfer work done by the US Air Force – and the role its had in measuring the heat-trapping properties of CO2 and other greenhouse gases – is an under-appreciated story. We still use the HITRAN database today: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HITRAN

More of the expected (interestingly Ulf is a co-author, who wrote the recent piece on scientists and activism where he also took some issues with the IPCC SPM's historic vs. paleo comparisons)

Distinguished features

On the difficulties of distinguishing climate science from climate activism when you don’t define either one.

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2024/05/12/dis…

What's going on with the wildfire situation in Canada?

Professor Mike Flannigan and I discuss what's causing these wildfires and what could be to come.

#abfire #bcfire

WATCH: youtube.com/watch?v=s3mF5f…

nature.com/articles/s4416…

I've been hearing about the dangers of climate scientists becoming activists for a while now, and I still have not seen the case made that it has mattered either at the scientist-by-scientist level or based on systematic tendencies of bad scholarship

GISTEMP has been updated today and April 2024 finishes +1.32°C above the '51 - '80 baseline.

Pretty close to ERA5 on the same baseline this month.

x.com/ibergwiesel/st…

It’s not particularly surprising when you ask scientists how hot they think the world will get in 2100 they give you answers more or less in-line with current policy scenarios in the literature (e.g. around 2.7C +/- 1C): theguardian.com/environment/ar…

The annual update of key climate indicators by Forster et al is currently under review.

essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd…

Comparing 2023 CERES net radiation to the 10-year period between July 2005 and June 2015 based on which the product was energy balanced.

A Global Increase in Nearshore Tropical Cyclone Intensification
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…

Our paper 'The atmospheric ‘cold blob’ over Fennoscandia from October 2023 to January 2024' was just published in Royal Meteorological Society Weather!

rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/we…

The paper was Ilmatieteen laitos Atmosphere and Climate Competence Center (ACCC) collaboration with Otto Hyvärinen, Andrea Vajda and Alexey Karpechko.

Coauthors and I have a new paper (under review) that estimates the impact of Hunga Tunga volcanic eruption over the past two years. The net effect of the eruption has been to cool the globe.

essopenarchive.org/users/523044/a…

With the hurricane season around the corner, expect to hear nonsense about the lack of a connection between hurricanes and climate change from climate misinformers. Make no mistake, hurricanes are getting more damaging, as I explain on The Climate Brink:
theclimatebrink.com/p/climate-chan…

Weasel can't wait to play in moss 😍☘🐾

Im April 2024 betrug das Gebietsmittel der Temperatur für Deutschland 10,1 °C und war damit damit 2,7 K wärmer als das vieljährigen Aprilmittel 1961-1990. Der April 2024 war der 14.-wärmster April seit Beginn der systematischen Messungen 1881.

dwd.de/zeitreihen